Wednesday Selections – July 17th 2019

Hi all,

Al Messila followed up her Leicester win with success at Nottingham yesterday to give the service a second day of profit. Here’s hoping for more of the same today.

Lingfield

4:40 – Rainbow Jazz – 8/1 – Gen – The selection made all to win this this race last year off 1lb higher. The 4-year-old shaped with promise when 4th at Brighton two starts back and ran better than his final position of suggests at Epsom two days later suggests. Nicely drawn in stall one to repeat last years success now returned to good to firm ground.

Wolverhampton

4:40 – Super Kid – 11/2 – Gen –The 7-year-old also won this same race 12 months ago, off 5lb higher. Showed his well being for a repeat success when winning at Chester 32-days, despite meeting trouble in the run. Stall eight could be better but the selection is nicely handicapped for a bold bid for back to back wins albeit this years race does contain a couple of unexposed potential improvers.

Yarmouth

5:30 – Hart Stopper – 11/4 @ William Hill & Bet365 – Ticks the all-important boxes marked course, distance and going, with his C&D form figures being 112 and he’s 3 wins from 10 runs 5 placed on good to firm. Three of his five career wins have also come in field sizes 7 or less.  Put in a seasonal best when runner-up here 7-days ago and the 5-year-old looks capable of going one better better today.

Cheers

John

Tuesday Selections – July 16th 2019

Hi all,

Southwell

6:30 – Un Beau Roman – 6/1 @ William Hill & Bet365 – The selection would win this comfortably on his form of 3-years ago. He’s not as good as he once was but his close second at Worcester 53-days ago showed he can win races at this level. The handicapper has put up 5lb for that effort, but he can remain competitive again.

Nottingham

8:10 – Al Messila – 13/2 @ Paddy Power – The drop-in class suited the 3-year-old when she put in an eye-catching performance to win at Leicester 19-days ago. She was always travelling better than anything in the race and it was just a question whether she would get a clear run when making her effort a furlong out. The gap came and she showed a decent change of gear to win going away by 2 ½ lengths. Back up a notch in class and raised 6lb here but can go close.

Cheers

John

Monday Selections – July 15th 2019

Hi all,

Killarney

7:50 – Island Master –7/2 @ William Hill & Bet365 – The selection ran well for a long way, at Tramore, on his return to action after a 247-day layoff. He was still bang in contention coming to the second last before a lack of race fitness caught him out. Still he was beaten less than 4 lengths into third. Has been given 44-days to recover and his trainer had a winner at Sligo yesterday.

8:20 – Smithscorner – 5/2 @ William Hill & Ladbrokes – Made it 1 from 4 over fences when winning at Wexford 26-days. There was plenty to like about how he finished of his race last time, for what in the end was a decisive win.  That performance hasn’t gone unnoticed, as the handicapper has put him up 9lb. The second who re-opposes here has since gone onto win so the form of the race is working out well. The 8-year-old remains unexposed over fences and looks capable of defying his new mark.

Windsor

8:30 – Hats Off To Larry – 11/4 @ Coral & Ladbrokes – Ran better than could have been expected when a 2 length, 5th of 10 behind Jazeel at Sandown 10-days ago. That was a Class 2 handicap, he drops back into Class 4 here, and can race off 2lb lower than at Sandown. The 5-year-old returns to a C&D where is form figures are 311. Plenty in his favour today then and Osin Murphy is on-board for the first time.

Cheers

John

Sunday Selections – July 14th 2019

Hi all,

It’s not ‘Super Sunday’ on the racing front today that’s for sure.

Stratford

4:10 – Arthur’s Sixpence – 11/4 @ Paddy Power & Betfair Sportsbook – The 5-year-old looks like he can make up into a better chaser than a hurdler. He wasn’t disgraced when 2nd of 3 at Newton Abbot on his chase debut 46-days ago and can improve for that run. Steps up slightly in distance which should suit also get the addition of the first time cheekpieces. He won’t need to be a world beater to win a handicap chase like this that’s for sure.

5:20 – Atlantic Storm – 4/1 @ Paddy Power & Betfair Sportsbook – The selection beat one of today’s rivals Regulation over C&D 12-days ago despite idling after the last. Handicapper has only put the seven-year-old up 3lb for that win, which doesn’t appear to harsh. He got a strong pace to chase last time and there’s good chance that the he will get the same again here, as there are several who like to go from the front.

Cheers

John

Saturday Selections – July 13th 2019

Hi all,

It’s Super Saturday and you can see why, with punters facing seven race meetings in the UK and a further two across the Irish Sea.

Chester

2:35 – Daffy Jane – 4/1 @ William Hill & Ladbrokes – The selection has bounced back to form on her last two starts. Two starts back she was runner-up in a valuable 7f handicap at York, on soft and last time out she ran just as well when 3rd at Pontefract, on good to firm 12-days ago. She races off the same mark here and trainer Nigel Tinkler’s horses are in excellent form at present.

Hamilton

7:05 – Dark Lochnagar – 7/1 – Gen – Was a real eyecatcher at Ayr six days ago. Slowly away, he also didn’t get the clearest of run on the rail between the final two furlongs but finished his race off nicely enough to almost grab 5th. The 3-year-old was only beaten 2 ½ lengths at the line and with a better passage could well have won. This is a better race than Sunday’s, but he’s only had the six career starts and remains capable of more improvement.

Cheers

John

Friday Selections – July 12th 2019

Hi all,

York

3:45 – Ironclad – 4/1 @ William Hill- Caught the eye when runner-up at Chelmsford two starts back and won like a 4/5 chance should at Beverley 24-Days ago. The 3-year-old makes his handicap debut off a workable mark of 81. Trainer Hugo Palmer’s horses are getting better than they were and the Dubawi colt is bred to win better races than this. He should get a decent pace to chase here and looks a horse worth keeping onside in handicaps.

Chester

8:00 – Zeyzoun – 5/1 – Gen – The selection is a rare Chester runner for Newmarket trainer Chris Wall. Despite his age the 5-year-old doesn’t have many miles on the clock, just the 13 runs. No wins in 8 runs for the trainer but did win a soft ground maiden when trained in France. He made a promising seasonal reappearance at Doncaster in May and built on that when a ½ length 3rd of 12 at Nottingham off 1lb lower. A step back up 7f should be in his favour and he can go close if the ground isn’t too quick as his best performances seem to have occurred with some juice in the ground.

Ffos Las

6:40 – Marble Moon – 3/1 – Gen – Twice a winner here over hurdles.The selection looked a shade unlucky and probably should have won beaten just a head at Newton Abbot seven days ago. Drops back 2f here but this more galloping track will suit the 7-year-old. Races off the same mark as at Newton Abbot and has obvious claims of going one better today.

Cheers

John

Thursday Selections – July 11th 2019

Hi all,

Doncaster

5:00 – Warning Fire – 15/8 @ Bet365 – The selection is having her third run 6-days but she’s a filly in great form, winning at Haydock and was only beaten a head at Ayr 3-days ago. Back to 7f but won over the distance at Haydock so it shouldn’t be a problem. The 3-year-old has clearly gone well on quick ground and as long as the going remains as it and this race doesn’t come to quick, she’s got a great chance. Made all when winning and it looks like she could get an uncontested lead.

Newmarket

2:25 – Visinari – Evens @Ladbrokes & Coral – The son of Dark Angel had the speed figure guys purring after making all to win over C&D on his racecourse debut last month. He wisely missed Royal Ascot and comes here. He has 10lb to find with Guildsman on RPR’s but is open to plenty of improvement and is a top-class juvenile in the making. His course win came on good to firm, so he won’t have any problems with the reported going. I’m hoping that Visinari can build on the promise of his winning racecourse debut and show us why Tom Segal (Pricewise) has backed him for next year’s 2,000 Guineas. It’s just a shame about the price but if you can get evens or slightly better then he’s worth a punt.  A rather boring Nap of the day.

Leopardstown

7:25 – Insignia Of Rank – 11/2 @ William Hill & Ladbrokes – Top-weight and the class horse of the race. The 4-year-old’s been in great form this season. A winner at the Curragh over today’s trip he’s since gone on to finish a close-up 3rd at the Curragh two starts back, off 2lb lower. Last time out he had no issues dropping back to mile when winning a Listed race 12-days ago. Capable of going close with Magnetic Charm the one to fear.

Cheers

John

Wednesday Selections – July 10th 2019

Hi all,

Both Tuesday’s selections ran well up to a point but it’s winners we need. All three Wednesday selections run at Kempton this evening.

Kempton

6:45 – Skyman – 9/2 @ Coral & Ladbrokes – The selection is making his polytrack debut here but did show so some promise on his sole start on the tapeta at Wolverhampton as 2-year-old. Made a decent handicap debut when runner-up at Nottingham 13-days ago. Pulled nicely clear of the third that day and is just 1lb higher here. Capable of winning off this sort of mark.

7:45 – Cacophonous – 11/2 – Gen –The 4-year-old has yet to win on nine starts. Shaped reasonably well when 3rd of 10 when stepped up to 1m 5f at Lingfield 15-days ago. His effort can be slightly marked up as he travelled out wide most of the way and didn’t handle bend as well as the two who finished ahead of him. It could be that he has his own ideas about the game, but he shapes like the step up to 2m will suit. The selection makes his all-weather debut today and I’m sure connections will be disappointed if he can’t win a race off his present mark of 68.

8:45 – Maid For Life – 7/2 @ Paddy Power –  I tend to avoid horses that are keen in their races but I’m going to make an exception here. The selection was far to good for her rivals, despite being keen, when winning on her handicap debut at Wolverhampton 40-days ago. The handicapper has put the 3-year-old up 7lb for that win but she looks progressive. It worth noting she got within 4 ½ lengths of the smart Jubiloso at Chelmsford two starts back and that filly is now rated 30lb higher. Trainer Charlie Fellowes is having a great 2019 with his unexposed runners in handicaps those with 3 to 9 career runs – 17 winners from 65 runners 26% +65.98 A/E 1.49 26 placed 40%. The one I fear is Nefarious, trained by the inform Henry Candy who will be suited by the return to the all-weather. That said I’m still going for the Fellowes filly who is my nap of the day.

Cheers

John

Tuesday Selections – July 9th 2019

Hi all,

The dreaded ‘nap’ curse struck again. It looked like Haafapiece was going to win coming to two out but couldn’t or wouldn’t go past the long-time leader.

Pontefract

3:15 – Clon Coulis – 5/2 @ William Hill & Bet365 –  The selection won this Listed race last year and showed she was as good as even when beaten just a nose in the Royal Hunt Cup.  Stall eight could have been better but she can hopefully take advantage of the 3lb that she gets from Billesdon Brook who won last years 1,000 Guineas.

Brighton

7:40 – Hedging – 9/2 @ William Hill –  The 5-year-old gained her second course win from six runs with a decisive victory over C&D 7-days ago. He’s clearly very effective on quick ground so underfoot conditions will suit again. Has a 5lb penalty to carry for last weeks win but he remains on a competitive mark based on his best form, won over C&D off 9lb higher In April 2018. Capable of going in again. Just to show I ‘m not superstitious Hedging is the Tuesday nap.

Cheers

John

Monday Selections – July 8th 2019

Hi all,

A nice early priced double landed yesterday.  Today looks tougher but I will be disappointed if we can’t have one winner today.

Ayr

2:30 – Hello Girl – 5/1 @Bet365 & Betway – Trained by the very much inform Nigel Tinkler 9 winners from 31 runners 29% +21.50 in the past 14-days. One of those nine winners is the selection who had a confidence boosting winner in Classified Stakes race at Lingfield 9-days ago. An inform filly who handled the quick ground last time and looks capable of another bold show here.

Worcester

4:45 – Haafapiece – 4/1 @Coral & Ladbrokes – The selection has run respectably on both starts since returning form a winter break. A smooth winner over C&D 12 months ago, off 4lb lower, he looks capable of going very close given he ticks the all-important boxes marked course, distance and going. Trainer Pam Sly’s runners are going nicely 2 winners from 7 runners 29% +3 in the past 14-days. My nap of the day which is usually a kiss of death for such a selection.

Cheers

John