Wednesday Selections – September 25th 2019

Hi all,

Jabalaly was a tasty winner at a BOG 8/1 on Monday.

Sligo

2:55 – Cliff House – 7/2 – Gen – The selection was useful over hurdles but has so far finished runner-up on four of his last five starts over fences. Has run well twice on the flat since his last go over fences.Granted he’s 0 wins from 10 runs over fences but his turn doesn’t look far away and a useful claimer takes off a valuable 7lb today.

Redcar

2:20 – Bowson Fred – 7/2 @ Bet365 & Coral –  On a losing run that dates back to 2016 butthe selection has dropped down to a tempting handicap mark and wasn’t disgraced when 8th of 18 at Doncaster 14-days ago, raced on the unfavoured stands side.  Ran even better, despite a slow start, when a strong finishing 4th of 15 at Beverley two starts back. A 5lb apprentice has been booked for the ride and trainer Michael Easterby is among the winners.

Kempton

7:30 – Emirates Knight – 11/4 @ Ladbrokes & William Hill –  Won over C&D 28-days ago. Up 4lb for that narrow success, the form looks solid both the second and third have gone onto win, and the selection has only had four starts on the synthetics so is open to more progress.

Cheers

John

Monday Selections – September 23rd 2019

Hi all,

Kempton

6:30 – Today Power – 4/1 @ Bet365 – Was well backed to make a winning nursery debut Chepstow 11-days ago. The gelding only failed by a short head to repay his supporters. Up 3lb here on his all-weather debut but he gets the mile well and is capable of more progress.

7:00 – Edaraat – 11/4 – Gen –  The selection won over C&D on his only start on the all-weather three starts back and followed up at Redcar.  Hold up tactics didn’t see him to best advantage in a race where it paid race prominently at York’s Ebor Festival last time. Better expected from the 3-year-old today and he can keep his unbeaten course record.

8:00 – Jabalaly – 13/2 @ William Hill – Did well to get as close as he did from a wide draw here over a mile 20-days ago. The first-time blinkers saw the 3-year-old return to form. If the headgear works again then he can go close over a furlong shorter today. Hasn’t been favoured by the draw again and will need to be ridden for luck but hopefully he can give trainer Ed Dunlop a welcome winner.

There are no selections on Tuesday, but I will be back on Wednesday.

Cheers

John

Sunday Selections – September 22nd 2019

Hi all,

Land Of Oz did the business at Newmarket yesterday to keep the recent winning run going. Today’s fare is rather moderate, with flat racing at Hamilton and a jumps card at Plumpton. My two selections run at the former.

Hamilton

2:30 – Rego Park Lady – 5/1 – Gen – The selections trainer Adrian Murray is 2 winners from 2 runners at Hamilton, including the filly who won over C&D back in July, off 4lb lower The 4-year-old took advantage of a favourable handicap mark to win that day, despite not getting the best of runs between the final two furlongs. Not in the same form at Cork or Catterick since but the return to this track can hopefully see her return to winning ways.

4:00 – Roman Stone – 6/5 @ William Hill & Ladbrokes – A winner at Carlisle on heavy ground 40-days ago. The selection has to give 7lb to his two rivals today but on rain softened ground he looks capable of doing so. He made all at Carlisle and hopefully will get another uncontested lead today.

Cheers

John

Saturday Selections – September 21st 2019

Hi all,

We had been hitting the crossbar so often in the last two weeks that a treble was just waiting to be landed and it was a perfect 3-3 on Friday. Saturday’s are always much tougher but here goes.

Ayr

1:25 – Plymouth Rock – 7/2 – Gen – Trained John Quinn relished the quicker ground when winning a Thirsk Novice 14-days he now races in the Coolmore colours and should get the miles. Very interesting given connections and a mark of 79 looks more than workable.  Trainer is 5 winners from 7 runners 71% +11.38 6 placed 86% with favourites at the meeting in the past 5-years.

Newmarket

3:55 – Land Of Oz – 6/4 – Gen – The selection hasn’t stopped improving since stepping up to 1m 6f+ – 5 wins from 7 runs 71% +4.94 6 placed 86% – won with more in hand than the ½ length margin of victory suggests at Kempton 15-days ago. Up 3lb for that success but open to even more improvement stepped up to 2m 2f.

Gowran Park

4:15 – Credenza – 7/2 @ Bet365 – The fillyhas improved on her last two starts, latterly putting up a career best when runner-up to Tarnawa in a Group 2 last Sunday at the Curragh.  She drops a shade in class here and can land a well-deserved first Group success.

Cheers

John

Friday Selections – September 20th 2019

Hi all,

Newbury

3:55 – Tabarrak – Evens- Gen – The selection is 2-2 over C&D including this race in 2017. Hasn’t been disgraced under big weights in handicaps at Goodwood at Ascot on his last two starts but the return to listed company suits, as he’s 4-5 in the class on good or quicker ground. Is the one they all have to beat. At evens or slightly bigger he’s worth a bet.

4:30 – Quadrilateral – 5/4 – Gen – Made an impressive racecourse debut when winning over C&D 35-days ago. The daughter of Frankel is open to any amount of improvement and although the going will be quicker than last time I’m sure she will be fine on the surface. Trainer Roger Charlton won this race last year and the filly looks more than capable of giving him back to back wins.

5:00 – Entrusting – 7/2 @ William Hill – Returned from a gelding operation with a solid second at Newcastle 21-days ago. The 3-year-old has only had the five career starts so is open to a bit more progress and looks on a workable mark off 82.

Cheers

John

Thursday Selections – September 19th 2019

Hi all,

The Ayr card looks nasty, so my selections run elsewhere.

Pontefract

3:40 – Gale Force Maya – 10/3 @ Bet365 & William Hill – The selection has been well placed to win her last three starts all at Carlisle. The latter of those wins three weeks ago was a career best according to RPR’s. She’s ground versatile. Up 5lb for her last success means she needs to improve a bit more, but looks capable of it in her present form.

4:10 – Forewarming – 13/8 @ Paddy Power – Won over C&D last month and ran even better when 2nd of 12 to an improver at York 11-days ago. Drops back into class 5 company again today and looks to have a favourites chance.

Chelmsford

7:00 – Dubai Icon – 3/1 – Gen – The colt returns from 337-day absence. A winner of a soft ground maiden at Nottingham on his last start. Looked the type to progress as a 3-year-old. Has to give weight to his rivals for his Nottingham win and a long absence to overcome but his trainers runners are often best caught first time off lay off.

Cheers

John

Wednesday Selections – September 18th 2019

Hi all,

Sandown

1:50 – Union Rose – 11/4 @ William Hill & Ladbrokes – The selection comes into the race seeking the hat trick after winning over C&D 5-days ago. Carries a 4lb penalty for last week’s success but looks capable of going in again.

4:00 – Clara Peeters – 7/1 @ Bet365 & Paddy Power –  Remains vulnerable to any improving fillies in the field but she’s just 1lb above her last winning mark. Put a poor run on soft ground, at Salisbury two starts back, behind her when 3rd of 10 at Ascot 12-days ago. No issues with the step back up to a mile and the quicker the ground the better for her.

Yarmouth

1:40 – Restless Rose – 3/1 @ Bet365 – The 4-year-old has been knocking on the door in handicaps on her last two starts and was a ½ length 2nd of 9 at Epsom 6-days ago. Can race off the same mark here and useful 7lb claimer Marco Ghiani takes the ride for the first time today. Last win came over C&D back in June of last year off today’s mark.  Inform and looks sure to go close.

4:20 – Pinnata – 5/2 @ Bet365 & BetVictor – Like Restless Rose trained by Stuart Williams and ridden by Marco Ghiani. A winner two starts back at Leicester off 3lb lower. The 5-year-old ran just as well in defeat when 2nd of 6 at Sandown in a Class 3 race 5-days ago. In form and capable of winning this dropped back to Class 4 company.

Cheers

John

Tuesday Selections – September 17th 2019

Hi all,

It’s been a case of hitting the crossbar in the past week or so.

Chepstow

2:20 – Rotherwick – 6/1 – Gen – Last win came in June 2018 over 1m 2fbut hes been shaping on recent starts like he’s worth another try at 1m 4f. Doesn’t have a change of gear and probably needs them to a go a good gallop. However, he’s dropped down to a winnable handicap mark and trainer Paul Cole has his horses in winning form 3-10 in the past 14-days.

Newcastle

6:00 – Deal A Doller – 15/8 – Gen – Sir Michael Stoute has a 37%-win strike rate with his runners here and the selection looks set to add to win total. The 3-year-old won at Kempton two starts back before finishing a close second on his first go on the tapeta at Wolverhampton 10-days ago. Nudged up 3lb but he’s only had six career starts and remains open to a bit more progress. This stiffer track should play to his strengths better than Wolverhampton.

8:30 – Arnold – 9/1 @ Coral & Ladbrokes – The 5-year-old won twice on turf last season off 2lb higher. He hasn’t been at that level of form on his five runs this season but his seasonal best came over C&D back in June when he was beaten just a head off 1lb higher. Just the one start on the all-weather so he remains unexposed on the surface. A reproduction of his second placed effort here would see him go close today.

Cheers

John

Monday Selections – September 16th 2019

Hi all,

Tarnawa 3/1(BOG), was a tidy winner yesterday, albeit the service is still running under par at present.

Brighton

2:40 – Barrsbrook – 4/1 @ William Hill – Jockey timed the 5-year-olds run perfectly when winning here 7-days ago. Steps up 2f in trip and must carry a 5lb penalty for last week’s success. If he gets a good two into the race like he did last time the 5-year-old can win again.  

Worcester

1:50 – Beni Light – 2/1 @ Bet365 – A twice winning point to pointer. He registered his first win under rules when battling on well to win at Uttoxeter 5-days ago. The 8-year-old carries a 7lb penalty for last weeks win but he’s at the right end of the handicap to follow up.  Step up to 2m 7f shouldn’t be a problem and his trainer David Rees is 5 -14 +3.92 with last time out winners returning within 7-days.

Kempton

7:00 – Alma Linda – 7/4 @ William Hill – A 3-year-old who looks firmly on the upgrade. The filly put in a career best when a decisive winner over C&D 10-days ago. That was just her second run beyond 1m 1 ½ f. She unexposed over middle distances and can defy her 6lb rise in the weights. 

Cheers

John

Sunday Selections – September 15th 2019

Hi all,

Logician was an impressive winner of yesterday’s St Leger. It’s over the Irish Sea for a couple selections from the Curragh and one from Bath.

Curragh

1:55 – Tarnawa – 9/4 @ William Hill & Ladbrokes Winner of the Group 3 Blue Wind Stakes at Naas back in May, prior to a poor run in the Oaks. Bounced back to form when with a battling win in a Group 3 at Cork 29-days ago. Drop back to 1m 2f shouldn’t be an inconvenience for the filly, especially if the forecast rain arrives.

2:25 – Soffia – 9/4 @ William Hill & Ladbrokes – Now 2 from 2 over C&D after a Group 2 win 56-days ago. The selection is a much-improved sprinter and can hopefully land her first Group 1 today.

Bath

4:30 – Hope Is High – 9/2 @ William Hill & Ladbrokes – The selection made it 3 wins from 7 runs here at Bath when winning over 1m 3 ½ f 11-days ago.  The mare was third in this race 12 months ago and looks set for another big run here.

Cheers

John