Sunday Selections – December 15th 2019

Hi all,

A nice win for Dame De Compagnie at Cheltenham saved the day. Today’s selections run at Carlisle.

Carlisle

1:20 – Cloudy Glen – 11/10 @ William Hill or Evens – Gen – Won a heavy ground novice hurdle here in March. The 6-year-old has the size to make a chaser and he ran well for a long way on his chase debut over 3m at Exeter 32-days ago. The drop back to 2m 5f should be in his favour and he should be fitter for that run. Connections will be disappointed if he can’t win this before going onto better things.

2:25 – Shanroe Santos – 11/4 @William Hill & Bet365 – A winner here in February last year, he’s never been out of the first three on his four visits to Carlisle.  Might have been expected to do better on his seasonal return when 4th of 7 in the Southern National a race he had won 12 months earlier, albeit he had a previous run last year.  Ran in the void London National but should be more suited to this company. No issues with the 3m 2f and his win here came on heavy so there shouldn’t be any problems with underfoot conditions either.

Cheers

John

Saturday Selections – December 14th 2019

Hi all,

Today’s selections run at Doncaster and Cheltenham.

Doncaster

1:00 – Barton Knoll9/2 @ Bet365 & Coral – A winner of a three runner C&D handicap 12 months ago the selection is better judged on 4th of 11 at Newbury on his seasonal return last month. He ran well for a long way and will fitter for that run today.  

1:35 – Speed Company – 7/2 @ William Hill – A useful middle-distance flat handicapper who made a winning return to hurdles on soft ground at Chepstow in October. Ran no sort of race at Ascot 22-days ago but is surely better than that run. Now 7lb higher than for his Chepstow success but he remains on a competitive mark if bouncing back to form.

Cheltenham

3:40 – Dame De Compagnie – 5/2 @ Bet365 – The mare should be all the better for her 5th placed effort in the Greatwood Hurdle at the last meeting. The return to today’s distance should suit the 6-year-old who races off the same mark as last time. Looks the one they all have to beat, albeit the bookies are taking no chances with her price.

Cheers

John

Thursday Selections – December 12th 2019

Hi all,

I think Smugglers Stash is still running, as he never really got competitive and faded out of contention.

Taunton

2:35 – Vaziani – 15/2 – Gen – There has been a welcome upturn in the form of the Robert Walford stable – 2 winners from 10 runners 20% +3.50 – in the past 14-days. The 5-year-old isn’t the best handicapped horse in the field, but he ran well enough when 2nd of 5 at Plumpton 24-days ago. Slightly up in class here but looks set for a good run with a useful conditional jockey taking off 7lb.

3:10 – Spring Wolf – 11/1 @ Paddy Power – Another from the Robert Walford stable. The 11-year-old is lightly raced for his age just the 8 starts, including four over fences. Both his career wins have come over fences, including over C&D two starts back. Needs to jump better and cut out the mistakes but no problem should the going ease and shouldn’t be far away.

Warwick

1:20 – Sensulano – Evens – Gen – A very useful hurdler, including a win here, has made an encouraging start to her career over fences. A runner-up on her seasonal reappearance before running out a comfortable winner of a mare’s beginners chase at Fontwell last month. Steps up to listed class here but the 6-year-old be competitive on her hurdle form especially with the overnight favourite declared a non-runner.

I’m off tomorrow but will be back on Saturday.

Cheers

John

Wednesday Selections – December 11th 2019

Hi all,

Hexham

12:50 – Smugglers Stash – 9/2 @ Bet365 – Trainer Rose Dobbin had a big race winner at Kelso on Sunday and I’m hoping that the selection can win for her. A previous C&D winner the 9-year-old is back down to his last winning mark. Returned from a 571-day absence finishing 3rd of 6 over C&D 33-days. Ran well considering his long lay off and although ultimately well beaten can go close here if building on that effort. No issues with the ground.

Cheers

John

Monday Selections – December 9th 2019

Hi all,

Top Notch saved the day with his win in the Peterborugh Chase at Huntingdon yesterday. Todays’ racing looks to tough and there a few solid betting opportunities. I may well regret putting these two up.

Musselburgh

Blue Kascade – 11/1 – Gen – The 12-year-old ended last season on the downgrade but he’s a well handicapped horse if he can bounce back to form on his first start since July. The case for the defence first. Well the veteran has run the track well in the past – 3 wins from 6 runs +5.38 4 placed. He’s gone well fresh in the past – 4 wins from 11 runs +7.88, when racing 90-days+ since his last run.  On the negative side would be any softening of the ground which probably wouldn’t be in the old boy’s favour as his best form had previously come on good to soft or good ground.

Newcastle

6:15 – Pearl Of Qatar – 5/1 @ William Hill – Made it 1 form 2 when bolting up over C&D 68-days ago. The handicapper has raised the filly 7lb for that success which probably wouldn’t stop her if in the same form here. Slight concern would be why she hes been given a break since her last win.

I’m off tomorrow but will be back on Wednesday.

Cheers

John

Sunday Selections – December 8th 2019

Hi all,

It was a frustrating Saturday with Cash To Ash looking set for his first career win when falling at the last at Wetherby, Let’s hope for better luck today.

Kelso

1:45 – Rubytwo – 3/1 @ Bet365 – The selection remains a maiden after eight starts over hurdles, but she’s put in plenty of good efforts. Non more so than when runner-up on her seasonal return at Wetherby 37-days ago. Entitled to have come on for that run and can win a race like this if all the cards fall right.

Huntingdon

1:30 – Fransham – 6/1 @ Ladbrokes – Twice a winner in the spring on a sound surface had no problem with soft ground when making a winning return to action at Wetherby 37-days ago.  The selection has been raised 6lb for that win, but he did show a nice turn of foot to win his race that day and looks on the upgrade.

2:00 – Top Notch – 2/1 – Gen – The consistent 8-year-old doesn’t always get the credit he deserves but he’s’ won 50% of his starts.  He showed his well-being when winning over hurdles on his seasonal debut at Aintree last month. This race has been the target for Top Notch, and he won it 2017, when it was switched to Taunton. As he showed at Aintree, he doesn’t like to be beaten. What better horse could you want in a finish but one who likes to win.

Cheers

John

Saturday Selections – December 7th 2019

Hi all

One good winner in Espoir De Guye but two other poor selections on Friday. On to Saturday and today’s selections run at Chepstow, Navan & Wetherby.

Chepstow

1:55 – Looks Like Power – 9/2 @ Bet365 –  It maybe worth taking a chance with Looks Like Power in the Coral Welsh Grand National Trial. The 9-year-old is a bit of Chepstow specialist with form figures 2113, with both wins coming at around 3m. Returns from a 244-day break, 0 wins from 7 runs 2 placed so no record fresh which is a slight negative but the softer the ground, the better his chance.

Navan

1:05 – Gran Geste – 6/1 @ Bet365 or 11/2 – Gen – The selection looked a well handicapped hurdler when winning over 2m 6f at Galway 41-days ago. The handicapper has raised the 6-year-old 8lb for that decisive win but he’s capable of more progress stepped up to 3m and looks the one they all have to beat.

Wetherby

2:50 – Cash To Ash – 4/1 – Gen – The 6-year-old has yet to shed his maiden tag after 8 career starts, four over fences, but surely a win can’t be far away. He put in a career best when runner-up at Market Rasen 16-days ago. Can race off the same mark today and has a big chance here today with ground set to suit.

Cheers

John

Thursday Selections – December 5th 2019

Hi all,

Cobolobo‘s win at Haydock yesterday made up for Sabdina Fairchild’s luckless run at Dundalk on Tuesday.

Three selections today running at Wincanton & Kempton.

Wincanton

12:55 – Cill Anna – 7/2 @ Bet365 – An expensive purchase after winning a good ground Irish point in March. Hasn’t set the world alight on her two starts in bumpers this autumn but hurdling could see her in a much better light, as should the step up to 2m 5 ½ f. Trainer Paul Nicholls has an exceptional record with his runners in novice & maiden hurdles at Wincanton in November/December – 12 winners from 19 runners 63% +4.76 A/E 1.33 14 placed 74%. That impressive record improves with those sent of favourite – 10 winners from 11 runners 91% +5.26. The only runner to fail to win, fell at the last when still in the lead.

2:40 – Lizzie Langton – 11/4 @ Paddy Power – The mare won this corresponding race 12 months ago off 3lb lower. Last of 5 on heavy ground at Lingfield on her seasonal reappearance over an inadequate 2m 4f 16-days ago.  Should run lot better today, now returned to a more suitable distance. A good chance of following up last years win.

Kempton

7:15 – Siberian Kinight – 11/4 – Gen – Improved for the step into nursery company when 2nd of 12, beaten a head over C&D last week. Just 1lb higher than last time but does step up two notches in class today. Will needs to improve to win but given he still looked a a shade green at the finish, he’s probably capable of doing so.

Cheers

John

Wednesday Selections – December 4th 2019

Hi all,

Haydock

3:00 – Cobolobo – 4/1 @ Paddy Power – Yet to win over fences but the selection has shaped well enough to think he’s more than capable of winning off his present mark. Was still going well when coming down at Exeter on his final start last season. Returned to action after a 245-day break when pulling up at Cheltenham 40-days ago. The tongue tie returns here and it’s worth remembering he was sent off just 4/1 last time.

3:35 – Better Getalong – 4/1 – Gen – The selection has just the had the five starts since winning an Ayr novice hurdle in Januray 2018. Best of his three runs last season came when runner-up over C&D last December. The 8-year-old goes well fresh and his form figures when returning from a 181+ day absence are 2112. The ‘mud’ really suits, and he looks set to go well for an inform stable.

Cheers

John

Saturday Selections – November 30th 2019

Hi all,

Today’s selections run at Lingfield & Newbury. Still got this annying chest infection so I will take Sunday off and return either Monday or Tuesday.

Lingfield

3:25 – Maazel – 5/1 @ Bet365 –  A previous C&D winner the 5-year-old made a good return to action when 4th of 12 over C&D 24-days. Needs a strong pace to chase to be at his best, so is a hostage to fortune but when the cards fall right, he seems to be on a winnable mark.

Newbury

3:40 – Magic Saint  – 7/2 @ Coral & Williamk Hill – The 5-year-old heads the ante post market. He should improve plenty for his recent 5th of 17 in the BetVictor Gold Cup and the drop back to an extended two mile will also be in his favour. Short price given what looks a competitive race, but he could be thrown in here and better than his mark of 147.

Cheers

John