Author: John Burke

Hi all,

Friday was bad enough but yesterday was even worse in some ways.  Mind you it was a tough day for punters across the board.

Both Goodwood and Newton Abbot have been lost due to the weather so there is no racing this side of the Irish sea on Sunday.

Curragh

2:40 – Fancy Blue – 4/1 @ Ladbrokes – Made a winning start on her racecourse debut at Naas 25-days ago. Looks to have the scope to make up into a good 3-year-old middle distance filly. How will she go on soft ground? That’s the big unknown and she been weak in the market this morning.

5:35 – Pulse Of Shanghai – 11/2 – Gen – Got off the mark at the 7^th attempt when winning at Down Royal 43-days ago. Has since switched to the Paddy Twomey yard. A mark of 70 looks workable and the 3-year-old looks set for a good run if he handles the soft ground.

Limerick

4:35 – Internal Transfer – 10/3 @ Bet365 – The selection put in a career best when 4th of 18 in the Kerry National. The return to Limerick will be in the 8-year-old’s favour – 3 wins from 3 runs here – and he’s won on heavy in the past. This is just his 4th start over fences and looks capable of better still in the sphere. Will probably be held onto a big longer today and has a big chance if he truly stays 3m on what is sure to be a stamina sapping 3m.

Cheers

John

Hi all,

All my recent good work was undone yesterday with some seriously poor picks. Let’s hope for better today.

York

2:05 – Rich Belief – 13/2 @ William Hill & Bet365 – The selection has plenty of ability but doesn’t look the most straight forward of horses. He won at Wolverhampton in July. Before showing he handled soft ground when first past the post on ni his nursery debut at Haydock. Was second past the post but was demoted to third after hanging left in the closing stages at Newcastle 36-days. Gets the first-time blinkers today and although he’s up 4lb from his last run more than capable of winning off his present mark if the headgear has the desired effect.

Newmarket

2:55 – Molatham – 2/1 @ Bet365 – Beat Wichita at Doncaster and side steps the Dewhurst to come here. The colt should be suited to the step up to a mile and looks useful. Is the one they all have to beat if he handles today’s much easier going.

Limerick

5:30 – Dare To Flare – 5/2 @ Bet365 –The selection is 2-8 on turf this season. The last of those wins came on soft ground at Killarney back in August off 10lb lower. Has remained competitive on three starts since and seemed unlucky in the run when 2^nd off 11 at Tipperary 6-days ago. A reproduction of that run would be good enough here.

Chepstow

4:30 – Zanza – 12/1 @ Bet365 – Made it 3-5 over hurdles when winning at Newbury in March. A winner on soft ground here last November the going and course will hold no terrors for him. Trainer Philip Hobbs has trained the 5-year-old at the race and he looks on a competitive mark. I’m surprised to see him a double figure price here.

Cheers

John

Hi all,

A small profit courtesy of Old Jeroboam’s (10/3) win at Worcester.

York

2:00 – Stone Soldier – 7/1 @ William Hill –  Is well suited by soft ground as he showed when making all to win at Chester 13-days. Drop back to 5f shouldn’t inconvenience the colt who is now 2 from 2 since switched to nursery company. Up 5lb from Chester but remains on an upward curve.

Newmarket

1:50 – Platinum Star – 2/1 @ Coral & Ladbrokes – The selection handles rain softened ground and impressed when winning over 6f at Ripon last time.  Looks a worthy favourite for the inform Saeed Bin Suroor yard.

2:25 – Final Song – 2/1 – Gen – A winner on soft ground on her racecourse debut comes into the race with the best form having finished third to Raffle Prize on her last two starts at Royal Ascot & Newmarket. She looks the most likely winner if she stays 7f.

Cheers

John

Hi all,

There are fine margins in this game as we witnessed yesterday evening with a short head separating a tidy profit from a loss.

Worcester

3:20 – Singapore Saga – 7/4 @ Paddy Power & Bet365 – The selection made her debut in decent NHF race at Cheltenham back in April. The form of the race looks strong with the third and fourth both winning since. Trainer Philip Hobbs has his horses forward this autumn and won this race 12 months ago.

4:55 – Old Jeroboam – 10/3 @ William Hill – Made it 2 wins from 2 runs in bumpers when winning at Southwell back in April. The 5-year-old makes his hurdle debut today and looks the type to do well over hurdles as the season progresses. A son of Jeremy he should be even better suited to more ease in the going but he’s effective on sound surface with both last season’s wins coming on good ground.

Exeter

3:30 – Keep Moving – 4/1 @ William Hill & Ladbrokes – The selection made it 2 wins from 16 starts over fences when a tidy winner of a handicap chase on good ground at Chepstow in April. The handicapper has put the 7-year-old up 2lb for that success which looks fair. He should remain competitive and shouldn’t be far away if ready to go after a 167 -day break.

4:00 – Nifty At Fifty – 4/1 @ William Hill – Made a highly encouraging return to action when going down by head at Southwell 8-days ago. Returned the 2/1 favourite that day which suggests he’s on a winnable mark. The handicapper has raised him 5lb for that effort, but he can still race off his old mark here. Provided that race doesn’t come too soon, and he proves as effective on quicker ground he can win this.

Cheers

John

Hi all,

Newcastle

6:25 – Red Line Alexander – 7/4 @ William Hill – The selection made a promising racecourse debut when 3^rd of 8 at Ascot last month. All weather debut today but the filly should be effective on the surface. Her dam won on the tapeta at Wolverhampton and he sire Sea The Stars has a 42% win-strike rate with his progeny here in the past 4-years. We will probably see the best of her as 3-year-old, but she should be able to win a race like this.

8:25 – Northernpowerhouse – 11/4 @ Bet365 & William Hill – Trainer Bryan Smart is 3-6 50% +13 in the past 14-days and the selection looks capable of adding another winner here. The 3-year-old a winner at Musselburgh three starts back was unlucky in the run at Beverley 39-days ago. Is inform and is one to be interested on his all-weather debut.

Kempton

7:40 – Maksab –9/1 @ Bet365 or 15/2 @ William Hill – Has been a weak finisher this season but the 4-year-old shaped last time at Lingfield like he was on a winnable mark. Gets the first time cheekpieces which could help him to see his races out better and trainer Mick Channon is among the winners.

Cheers

John

Hi all,

Another winner yesterday to keep the profitable run going.

I can’t find any solid betting opportunities today, so there are no selections.

Cheers

John

Hi all,

Two winners and two seconds from yesterday four selections meant a steady profit on the day.

Tipperary

5:05 – West Cork Wildway – 9/4 @ William Hill & Coral – The selection a twice winning pointer made a promising debut under rules when 3^rd of 14 in a Listowel maiden hurdle 24-days ago. He runs in a bumper here today but looks to have a good chance of winning it. If building on the promise of his recent run over hurdles.

Pontefract

3:30 – Bodacious Name – 11/4 @ Paddy Power & Bet365 – Won twice over C&D last October, including this race, both those wins came on good to soft, but the selection has also won on heavy ground in the past so underfoot conditions shouldn’t pose to many problems for the John Quinn trained runner.

Stratford

3:30 – Eaton Hill – 6/1 @ William Hill & Bet365 – The 7-year-old returns from a 344-day break here but this previous C&D winner is very much respected on the form of his 2^nd of 19 in a valuable handicap hurdle at Aintree in April 2018. No issues with cut in the ground for the selection who hails from the Kerry Lee stable who are among the winners of late.

Cheers

John

Hi all,

So near yet so far as All Points West was beaten a nose yesterday evening.

Tipperary

2:30 – Imaging – 2/1 @ William Hill & Paddy Power – The 4-year-old had an unlucky run when beaten favourite in this race 12 months ago. Won a Listed race and a Group 3 earlier in the season before finishing runner-up in a German Group 2 when last seen in action. Returns from 129-day absence but has won twice off similar layoffs in the past. In the past ten years trainer Dermot Weld’s record in the race is 5 winners from 11 runners +8 8 placed 73%. Hopefully the selection can give him another winner.

4:00 – Jake Peter – 2/1 @ Bet365 & BetVictor – The selection is having his first run over hurdles since finishing 2^nd of 13 at Punchestown in December. Has done well on the flat over the summer winning at Fairyhouse back in June. Now rated 88 on the level he looks nicely weighted on a return to hurdles off 114. The booking of 3lb claimer Darragh O’Keeffe suggests a big run is expected.

Kelso

2:50 – Kaizer – 5/2 @ Bet365 – Made a winning hurdle debut at Perth in the summer and has been running respectably on the flat since and was an easy winner on good to soft at Musselburgh 7-days ago. The selection must give a penalty away to his rivals today but looks capable of doing so.

3:50 – Mr Muldoon – 2/1 @ William Hill – A winning pointer, on soft & good ground, who made a winning hurdle debut at Worcester for new trainer Dr Richard Newland 20-days ago. Steps up 5 furlongs in distance today but should be even better suited to the new trip. Capable of plenty more improvement and should take all the beating here.

Cheers

John

Hi all,

Two winners and a second on Thursday which keeps the profitable run going.  Just the two today and one of them is a rare foray to Southwell.

Ascot

3:10 – Raydiance – 2/1 @ William Hill & Ladbrokes – A soft ground C&D Listed race as juvenile. The selection comes into the race in good form, was a close-up 5^th of 10 at Redcar two starts back and was 3^rd of 11 at Ayr 13-days ago. Not a race I would normally tip in but with Simon Walker booked for the ride and ground to suit he can win this.

Southwell

6:30 – Borsdane Wood – 13/8 @ William Hill –  Improved to win a maiden over C&D 15-days ago. Makes his nursery debut off a competitive looking mark of 77 and looks to have a great chance of following up on a surface that suits.

Cheers

John

Hi all,

Lingfield

2:45 – Reine De Vitesse – 2/1 @ William Hill – Put in a solid effort on her first start for trainer Jane Chapple-Hyam when 4^th of 12 at Chelmsford 61-days ago. The form of that Chelmsford race couldn’t be working out better as the three that finished in front of her have all gone on and won since. Steps up a 1f in trip here which looks in her favour. They one they all must beat!

Warwick

4:10 – Molly Childers – 13/2 @ Bet365 or 11/2 – Gen – A second season chaser. She did well last season winning at Wincanton in January, off today’s mark, and looking at her RPR’s produced her running on most of her starts. Her best form has come on a sound surface, has won on good to soft. Returns from a 159-day absence but ran well on her seasonal reappearance last season and shouldn’t be far away.

Wolverhampton

5:45 – Spirited Guest – 10/3 – Gen – Returned from a 190-day break to finish 2^nd of 9 at Yarmouth 16-days ago. The selection is lightly raced, just the four career starts and makes his handicap/tapeta debut off what looks a workable mark.

7:15 – About Glory – 9/2 @ William Hill – The selection won twice at Bath last month before finishing 4^th of 12 a Newcastle 8-days ago. Last three starts have been over 1m 2f but the 5-year-old stays further and the step up to 1m 4f around here should suit.

Cheers

John